By Jim Spencer
SpencerSpeaks.com
Novermber 7, 2007
The chart detailing supervised loans in
The dollar amount of high-interest, high-risk loans made in
It totaled $2.23 billion. Of that, $1.2 billion went to so-called subprime “closed-end real estate-secured†loans whose defaults have pushed the world economy into the toilet.
In 2005, supervised lenders made only $1.9 billion in high-interest, high-risk loans, and only $436 million went to closed-end real-estate secured mortgages.
This means we can look forward to more people losing homes to foreclosure and more glut in the real estate market that drives down the value of everybody’s house.
This means an already horrible situation stands to get much worse.
Here, from the AG’s news release, is most of what you need to know about subprime lending: “The percentage of foreclosures on supervised loans [loans with annual interest rates higher than 12 percent] increased by almost 80 percent†from 2005 to 2006.
Suthers called the growing dependence on all types of high-interest, high-risk borrowing “very disconcerting.â€
The description ticking financial time bomb also comes to mind.
Nowadays, too many Americans exist on someone else’s money. In the past several years, the country’s federal budget has run as deeply in the red as it ever has. Our children, grandchildren and perhaps even our great-grandchildren will pay for the Iraq War. Baby Boomers’ Social Security payments threaten to empty the fund before Generation X reaches 65 or 72 or wherever they move the retirement age to try to stave off insolvency.
Meanwhile, most Americans follow Uncle Sam’s example and finance just about everything from houses to cars to tuition to groceries with loans and credit cards.
Credit, it seems, is a lot easier to come by than deferred gratification.
My personal website, SpencerSpeaks.com, makes not a single cent. If anyone out there wants to sponsor it, please call or write. Meanwhile, even my penniless product has attracted a half-dozen credit card offers.
Suthers, said spokesman Nate Strauch, “thinks Americans are addicted to debt. They’re addicted to having everything now and not waiting until they can afford it.â€
That sums it up pretty well for the borrowers. But usurious lenders play a big role here. And so does the lack of government regulation over an economic system built on the tenet that greed is good.
Suthers has some good ideas for non-profit debt counseling to educate consumers. The state legislature has passed a couple of laws aimed at helping borrowers understand what they’re getting into with things like no-money-down adjustable rate mortgages.
Now, it’s time to make sure lenders act responsibly. At this point, it seems like people take their cut, then pass on the financial risk in the subprime mortgage business. The buck passes until there are no bucks left to pass. Then, overextended borrowers and under-informed investors take the hit.
You’d think by now everyone would get that. Then, you look at the numbers in Suthers’ report and wonder if anyone is paying attention.
Copyright 2007 by Jim Spencer. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission.




13 users commented in " Dependence on Risky Loans Grows "
Follow-up comment rss or Leave a TrackbackJim! The folks who under-wrote this subprime lending mess are those in the Hedge Fund groups. And guess who Congress is now in the
process of bailing out? It’s those big money
hedge fund investment groups who give political
funds to Lieberman and Hillary! In the past they’ve been big contributors also to John Kerry and to George W. Bush!
A recent article in the Nov. 5 issue of The Nationm “Hillary’s Hedge Funds”, tells of Terry
Terry McAuliffe working with others–Alan Quasha and Hassan Nemanzee (Harken Energy)–all
working “both political parties’ candidates” to support the agendas of Hedge Funds. It is
truly a sickening story.
Big Oil and Big Hedge Fund groups and their money are ruining this nation in their effort to gain influence in Washington, D.C. ~ GP
Subprime lenders and their borrowers have
made some bad business decisions in the
last few years. But A) Subprime lenders
did VERY well in the mid 90’s to early
2000’s and B) borrowers enjoyed cash flow
and real estate appreciation during that
same time. Subprime lenders recently got
out of the misjudged real estate market
and some borrowers lack of common sense
with their asset appreciation found
current interest rates and payments on
those adjustibles out of their price
range. Enough said. That’s private
enterprise and consumer spending habits.
The REAL story here that Spencer doesn’t
tell you about is the REAL
injustice where Colorado real estate is
concerned. And that’s the foreclosures
YOU as the U.S. taxpayer foot the bill
for.
Never mentioned is the vast number of
Federally insured residential home loans
defaulted on by borrowers who in past
years never would have qualified for a
mortgage.
The taxpayer scam which
continues even to this day regardless of
real estate values or economic conditions
is
the virtual racket associated with
Federally insured home loans by FHA and
VA. And WE the American people pay when
they default. NOTHING IS BEING SAID!
It’s the dirty little secret the
beneficiaries don’t want you the taxpayer
to know about.
You see, about 10 or 15 years ago our
elected leaders in Washington decided
EVERYBODY regardless of their financial
ability should own a home. ESPECIALLY
minorities. I would like to hear about
how many BILLIONS of taxpayer dollars
have been used to float the housing
operation called the Federal Housing
Authority and it’s giveaway home loans
programs which are nothing more than
subsidized housing for the poor.
I’d like to know of the thousands of
foreclosures in the state how many of
these loans are insured by YOU the
taxpayer and have NOTHING TO DO WITH
THE SUBPRIME INDUSTRY. The convenient
boogy man for advocates for the “common
good” meaning screw the taxpayer we want
to push our social agendas, one of which
is free housing for the poor called
FHA.
Jim,
Your piece should have been entitled “Dependence on Risky loans GREW”. Unless you’ve been living on another plantet the subprime lending appetite has died, especially in the mortgage markets. “GROWS” implies that is is still getting larger. Also, this study only includes loans that are 12% or higher as subprime. Subprime and Alt A are not necessarily “usurious” with respect to interest rates in most cases, and almost all do not fall into the 12% category. They were risky in their aggressive down payment options etc.
The market is correcting, that is why “GREW” is better than “GROWS”. The pains of which are being felt now throughout the world markets now and will be for some time, but you should have written this 3 years ago when it would have mattered. Not as an after the fact assessment of some powerful insight of people’s spending habits and the desire of commerce to capitalize.
Noidea, what’s “riskier” than 100% +
financing achieved with with premium priced
financing, settlement costs counted toward
the 3% “down payment requirement”
grant and community homebuyer assistance
monies (which is nothing more than a shell
game for a fee utilizing an illegal inflated
real estate appraisal and on top of that
seller concessions, resulting in a CHECK to
the buys at closing who are first time
home buyers with poor credit and sporatic
job histories.
That’s the current state of FHA home loan
financing. In essense a “CASH OUT” home
purchase for unqualified borrowers.
Some of THESE loans go into default without
a single payment being made. Gee I wonder
why? This is called CRAZY underwriting.
Then: to top it off when these borrowers
get three months behind the lender and
realtor can approach them with the FHA
“PRE FORECLOSURE” program which allows
the soon to be foreclosed seller a $500
INCENTIVE to sell pre foreclosure and NOT
have the foreclosure appear on their credit,
(so they can qualify in only three years
to get another FHA loan) and the loan
can be “Paid off” for 82% of the current
appraised value, with the TAXPAYER picking
up the deficiency. Many home are worth less
now than the loan balance from a year ago.
That deficiency could be 25 30 or 40%
or at worst $80,000 on a $200,000 mortgage.
All paid for by the TAXPAYER through HUD.
All the lenders and Realtors have to do is
find a steady stream of human beings with
pulses and they can “CHURN” the local
inventory of foreclosure properties
adinfinitum. Making their commission each
time all on the tax payers dime.
And your talking about RISK in the private
sector SUB PRIME market???? Those people
HAVE to make a profit or their out of
business. The Federal government is in the
BUSINESS of waisting the taxpayers dollars
with their GIVEAWAY PROGRAMS. And you
talk about RISK. GIVE ME A BREAK!
Dennis,
At least in the FHA and VA loan market borrowers were required to show income and asset documentation. Once again, an idea that I may agree wtih you on you prove to me your idiocy and extrapolate your thoughts into a rambling mess of the private sector against every body else. Get a grip, man. Seriously.
Also included in these numbers that Jim talks about are Pay Day Loans…a legal loan sharking service. My original thougths did not include thes numbers that are rising..only because one would think that they should no affect foreclosure rates…..same with credit cards and car loans……….any resonable person would make their home loan payment first, but Jim blames lenders for unreasonable people and their (lack of) decision making…
My point was Jim’s numbers were an increase of 2005 and 2006…..any body living on this planet knows that these numbers will decline with respect to mortgages in 2007. Pay Day numbers, car loans, credit cards etc will decline as soon as they start to lose money..
And yes, Jim, I am well aware of how loose mortgage lending practices affect the rest of society…..but your column is based on a simpleton mentality, no matter how correct in it’s premise it may be.
….and how does a lender know if the person that they are lending to is unreasonable……only after the fact when they don’t pay. It is easy for a person like you, Jim, to criticize. If credit is restricted, especially from minority groups, you are singing a different tune. You get a grip too and learn. The markets will determine who has access to capital, and liberals (progressives) like you will complain when there is not a free flow of lending capital to under capitalized minority and “under served” areas.
The simpleton being a man in his 50’s (with assuming excellent credit rating) getting credi card offers, comparing that to what is going on generally in the credit markets… this is where the simpleton remark comes in.
noidea, I didn’t see the “study” which
included creditors other than Sub Prime
mortgage companies, but the common
complaint and being the political season
there always a hidden political agenda.
Hedge funds whatever. Believe (whether
you care to or not) I know of what I speak.
I don’t think consumer credit issues are
the problem here. And it’s a fact that
the press does not the discuss the racket
going on with government insured loans
and the multitude of programs which help
unqualified borrowers buy homes as a
directive of Washinton ideology. It’s a
fact moron. Not all subprime lending is
“stated” and generally loan to values
provide for a cushion in the case of
forclosure. Same deal with interet only
products. People who have equity SELL
MORON! they don’t go into foreclosure.
You’re the one rambling.
restated:
noidea, I didn’t see the “study†which
included creditors other than Sub Prime
mortgage companies, but the common
complaint and being this is the political season
there always a hidden political agenda,
Hedge funds whatever. If that paper is
now worthless private investors have suffered.
Private investors.
Believe me (whether
you care to or not) I know of what I speak.
I don’t think consumer credit issues are
the problem here. And it’s a fact that
the press does not care to discuss the racket
going on with government insured loans at taxpayers expense
and the multitude of programs (documented but
so what? with lax qualifying criteria and desktop
â€underwriting†approval, big deal!) They are loans
which should never happen but do time and again.
These things which assist
unqualified borrowers to buy homes as a
directive of Washington ideology, social science
and housing for “underprivileged†minorities. It’s a
fact. Not all sub Prime lending is
“stated†and generally loan to values
provide for a cushion in the case of
default. They don’t lend 100% of value. It’s high risk lending, it
addresses a probability of default. The wrongful assumption
was that real estate values would continue to appreciate.
Same deal with interest only products- they don’t lend 100%.
And generally speaking people with equity and decent credit
don’t go into foreclosure– they sell. They sell to
get what they can if anything of their equity and preserve
their credit rating. Not so with FHA borrowers they LITERALLY
have NOTHING to lose by foreclosure. And some have even
gained, on the taxpayers dime. It’s time the public understands
they are heavily subsidizing this housing debacle.
OK, guys, you’ve had your little debate. Hammond, as usual, you manage to demagogue the issue. Noidea is right. FHA, VA, et al, require the borrower to establish that he/she is qualified for the deeply discounted loan. That it is deeply discounted also makes it more likely that the loan will be paid. I don’t think you can cite any statistics that the default rate on VA and FHA loans is at all higher than on any other kind of loans. And, please, for the love of God, stop perpetuating the myth of “sub-prime loans.” They’re high risk, damn it, and if anyone ever had called them what they really are, it is doubtful that the masters of the universe who populate Wall Street would have been able to do what they did.
There is a tremendous amount of misinformation on the housing market, much of it because the mainstream media have so few decent reporters who know anything that they all play the same story, blathering about the poor working class people who are losing their homes. Seldom do we get to read how the mortgage broker assured them the deal was “good” or the appraiser came back with a ridiculously high valuation just to make the loan qualify. Most of the defaults around the country are by people who planned to flip the property and make money on the increase in value. Surprise, the original value was unrealistic and the increase didn’t manifest itself. When the mortgage reset at a higher rate that the borrower never planned to have to pay, boom, into the dumper goes that mortgage.
Hammond and Noidea, there is enough blame in this fiasco for everyone to get his or her share. What we don’t need is more blather (Hammond) against FHA and VA programs, which for more than 50 years have helped put more working-class Americans into homes of their own. Try thinking before typing, and open the mind, you never know what might fly in or out.
LHKMAN>> Subprime loans ARE risky. Regardless of what Dennis says. Or let me clarify, Subprime AND 100% financing in the same sentence are risky…Subprime has it’s place in a free market economy, but disclosure is the key.
Sometimes I type and send before thinking, and then wish that I had a yo yo that I could pull it back. That being said, I know quite a bit about this particular subject. That night that I sent my remarks to Dennis, I had thrown more than a few back and my delivery was poor. Especially with respect to calling Jim Spencer a simpleton, which certainly he is not (Sorry Jim for being a jacka..). Dennis, on the other hand, although not a simpleton has a one track mind.
The credit breakdown with respect to mortgages is a MAJOR issue. The House moved to correct some of the problems yesterday but went into areas that the free market economy on it’s own is correcting. “Do goodism” on the part of the majority of Democrats who sponsored and voted for the bill are going to deepen the problem…..Specifically with respect to homeowners trying to refinance not being able to use their equity for closing costs on refinances. Although this sounds noble on paper, the poor will not be able to do so and this will deepen their problems in getting out of their subprime loans or to refinance in general. The wage earner will not be able to save up the money to do so and will basically be SOL. I personally need to refinance an ARM and I do not relish paying money out of my pocket to do so rather than using my own equity.
Rather than stopping the hemorrage of foreclosures it is, if the bill passes the Senate, going to deepen even more. The stricter licensing etc. are all good parts of the bill but the Democratic supported bill reaches it’s mis-guided hand into an arena that the markets will correct on it’s own. Nannyism as Harsanyi would put it.
If the House is concerned about equity predators, they perhaps should revise the HOEPA ACT limiting the percentage of fees charged on a loan and perhaps have some sort of protection against multiple refinances within a time frame from a single originating source. This, in my opinion, would help remove some of the predators that have created this debacle.
That being said, there are some excellent aspects of the bill with controlling the “type” of person, and qualifications, that are able to originate mortgage loans and this is long over due.. There are also more disclosure provisions etc. So overall, a lot of good was done. But if we go overboard, watch out. This will be just the beginning as borrowers will not be able to unwind the mess that they have gotten themselves into.
And yes, you are correct.>>> Subprime loans ARE risky. Regardless of what Dennis says. Or let me clarify, Subprime AND 100% financing in the same sentence are risky…Subprime has it’s place in a free market economy, but disclosure is the key.
…and LHKMAN..although I always give your words much ponderance and see your perspective, I take some offense to your venacular in “little debate”.. this is somewhat condescending. Dennis, although one track, is obviously ‘tuned in’ and that is a good thing. I may be an idiot, but would rather not be called such. Even if your condescesion is under the radar.
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